It is almost time for the government to decide who to name as the new commander of Pakistan’s army, which is likely to be one of the hardest decisions of its term.
In background conversations, a senior Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) politician who serves in the federal cabinet suggested that Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif might start talking about the nomination by the end of August and possibly make a decision by mid-September.
It is widely believed that before making a decision, he will consult with his partners in the ruling coalition. However, a source within the Pakistan Peoples Party stated that the party might not want to get involved because the prime minister has the authority to decide.
The president chooses the heads of the services on the prime minister’s proposal, as stated in Article 243(3) of the Constitution.
Four of the six top Lt-Gens at the time of Gen Bajwa’s retirement will be from the same batch, while a fifth is senior to almost the entire lot.
The appointment of military officers at or above the rank of lieutenant-general in the army and those at equivalent ranks in the other Defense Services will be made by the prime minister in consultation with the president, according to Schedule V-A of the Rules of Business, which elaborates the cases to be presented to the prime minister for his approval.
However, there is little detail in the rule books about how this procedure actually works. No specific requirements have been established for consideration for elevation, with the exception of the general requirement that the general chosen to lead the army should have previously held command of a corps.
It is customary for General Headquarters (GHQ) to submit the Ministry of Defence a list of the four to five senior-most lieutenant-generals, together with copies of their personnel files, so the prime minister can select the one he believes is best qualified for the position.
The defence ministry might theoretically check the names before delivering them to the prime minister, but this rarely occurs and the ministry just serves as a post office.
The Prime Minister’s Office or the cabinet will then discuss the generals’ credentials. The prime minister’s “informal consultation” with the departing army chief, his personal perceptions, and his conversations with his closest aides are what ultimately determine the situation.
Astute observers also refer to the prime minister receiving a “institutional recommendation” for a specific candidate. At least two former defence secretaries, however, have refuted this assertion. They contend that only the departing army chief may offer his own opinion on who he believes should follow him during his “informal consultation” with the prime minister.
Five of the 10 army commanders the nation has had since 1972 were chosen during separate terms as prime minister by Mian Nawaz Sharif, the incumbent’s elder brother. The elder Sharif was repeatedly criticised for appointing officers he saw as an ‘apna banda’ (his man). Ironically, he didn’t have a great experience at any of the appointments.
The Sharifs apparently feel like they will never completely get it right as a result of the experience. In a background interview, some PML-N leaders stated that they had so essentially opted to nominate based only on seniority rather than giving in to the desire to locate the “perfect” candidate.
Then, one party leader added, “no matter how things turn up, we will at least be satisfied that no personal choices were involved.”
Another faction within the party, however, believes that PM Shehbaz Sharif might just follow the present leader’s recommendations.
Outgoing General
Gen. Qamar Javed Bajwa, the Chief of Army Staff (COAS), was appointed in 2016 and will step down during the final week of November. The appointment of the army head is for a period of three years, however following some political commotion in 2019, Gen. Bajwa was awarded an additional three-year tenure. He had received an extension from the then-prime minister Imran Khan in August, but the Supreme Court later required legislation regarding the reappointment of the heads of the services.
In January 2020, Parliament agreed, giving the prime minister power to prolong the terms of services chiefs. However, the age at which a service head must retire was set by law at 64.
Therefore, Gen. Bajwa, who is still 61 years old, is qualified for reelection. This technicality had raised the possibility that the incumbent would be interested in or looking for another extension. However, a military insider claims that Gen. Bajwa has informed those close to him that he would retire in November. The head is indeed resigning, according to Inter-Services Public Relations.
Not all four-star positions will be vacated in November, including the army chief’s. Gen. Nadeem Raza, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee (CJCSC), would also be retiring at the same time. The concurrent nomination of two four-star generals provides the administration some leeway in choosing the army’s commander without raising too many eyebrows among the senior hierarchy.
At the time of Gen. Bajwa’s retirement, four of the six senior lieutenant-generals were from the same batch, which is interesting. The PA number granted to them during their training at the PMA serves as a technical indicator of this lot’s seniority, which may or may not matter when the new CJCSC and COAS are selected. The other two are divided into two groups, one of which is roughly superior than the others overall.
Lt-General Asim Munir
Lt-Gen Asim Munir will be the person with the most experience when it comes time to choose the new CJCSC and COAS. Even though he received a two-star general promotion in September 2018, he didn’t take over until two months later. Thus, on November 27, when the current CJCSC and COAS will be taking off their army uniforms, his four-year term as Lt-Gen would come to an end. Gen. Bajwa will decide if his name should be included, and the prime minister will make the ultimate choice, since the suggestions and decisions for the appointment of the two four-star generals will be made a little sooner. He is an excellent officer, but given the specifics, he might continue to be the classic dark horse. Lt. Gen. Munir enlisted in the military and was commissioned into the Frontier Force Regiment after attending the Officers Training School (OTS) programme in Mangla. Since his time as a brigade commander in the Force Command Northern Areas under Gen Bajwa, who was then Commander X Corps, he has been a close assistant to the current COAS. He was subsequently named DG Military Intelligence in early 2017 and made the ISI chief in October of that same year. His tenure as the top intelligence officer, however, ended up being the shortest in history since, at the behest of the then-prime minister Imran Khan, he was replaced by Lt. Gen. Faiz Hamid after only eight months. He was appointed as the commander of the Gujranwala Corps and served in that capacity for two years before being transferred to the GHQ as the Quartermaster General.
Lt-General Sahir Shamshad Mirza
Lt-General Nauman Mehmood
Lt. Gen. Mehmood, a member of the Baloch Regiment, serves as the National Defence University’s president at the moment. He has also had a lot of experience as the head instructor at the Quetta Command and Staff College. He has been in charge of a North Waziristan-based infantry division. From then, he was appointed director-general (Analysis) at the ISI, where he played a major part in analysing foreign policy from the standpoint of national security. He had the chance to communicate with foreign intelligence services on behalf of the ISI during that tenure.
He was named inspector-general of Communications & Information Technology, GHQ, upon his promotion to the rank of three-star general in 2019. He was assigned to the Peshawar-based XI Corps in December 2019. From there, he managed border fence and security along the Pakistan-Afghanistan border while the US withdrew its troops.
He gave Lt. Gen. Faiz Hamid control of the XI Corps in November 2021.
Lt-General Faiz Hamid