Currently situated around 19.5°N and 67.7°E, 600 km south of Karachi, and 580 km south of Thatta, the Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm (Biparjoy) over the East Central Arabian Sea is expected to move further north till the morning of June 14th.
From June 13 to June 17, Thatta, Sujawal, Badin, Tharparker, Mirpurkhas, and Umerkot districts are anticipated to see widespread wind-dust/thunderstorm rain with some very heavy/extremely heavy falls and squally winds of 80–100 km/h with gusts to 120 km/h.
From June 14 to 16, Karachi, Hyderabad, Dadu, Tando Muhammad Khan, Tando Allayar, Nawabshah, and Sanghar are anticipated to have dust/thunderstorm-rain, with a few heavy showers and accompanying squally winds of 60 to 80 km/h.
Additionally, during this time, rain, wind, and thunderstorms are predicted for Sukkur, Larkana, Jacobabad, Zhob, Barkhan, Musa Khel, Naseerabad, Sibbi, Lasbella, Kalat, Khuzdar, and the Makran coast.
On June 14 (Wednesday), a westerly wave is also predicted to enter higher regions of the nation.
Wind-dust/thunderstorm rain is expected in Chitral, Dir, Swat, Kohistan, Mansehra, Abbottabad, Haripur, Peshawar, Charsadda, Nowshera, Swabi, Mardan, Bajaur, Kurram, Waziristan, Kohat, Bannu, Tank, Karak, Dera Ismail Khan, Islamabad, Murree, Galliyat, Rawalpindi, Attock, Chakwal, Sialkot, Gujranwala, Mandi Bahauddin, Narowal, and Lahore on 13 and 14 June.
More rain-dust/thunderstorm with a few hailstorms (isolated heavy falls) is expected in Kashmir (Neelum valley, Muzaffarabad, Poonch, Hattian, Bagh, Haveli, Sudhanoti, Kotli, Bhimber, Mirpur), Gilgit-Baltistan (Diamir, Astore, Ghizer, Skardu, Hunza, Gilgit, Ghanche, Shigar), Chitral, Dir, Swat, Kohistan, Mansehra, Abbottabad, Haripur, Peshawar, Charsadda, Nowshera, Swabi, Mardan, Bajaur, Kurram, Waziristan, Kohat, Bannu, Tank, Karak, Dera Ismail Khan, Islamabad, Murree, Galliyat, Rawalpindi, Attock, Chakwal, Gujranwala, Narowal, Sialkot, Kasur, Lahore, Jhelum, Sargodha, Sheikhupura, Faisalabad, Jhang, Toba Tek Singh, Nankana Sahib, Mandi Bahauddin, Khushab, Mianwali, Bhakkar, Layyah, D.G.Khan, Multan, Kot Adu, Bahawalpur, Bahawalnagar and Rahim Yar Khan from 15 to 18 June with occasional gaps.
Possible Impacts and Advice:
From June 14 (evening/night) to June 17, squally (high intensity) winds could damage loose and exposed buildings (Katcha homes), including solar panels, etc.
At the landfall site (Keti Bandar and vicinity), a storm surge of 3-3.5 meters (8-12 feet) is anticipated, which can inundate low-lying towns and could lead to coastal flooding during the time period.
Since the Arabian Sea conditions could become extremely rough/high and be accompanied by high tides along the coast, fishermen are urged not to venture into the open sea until the system is through by June 17.
Farmers are encouraged to plan their activities while taking the weather forecast into consideration. Tourists are advised to use additional caution during the wet season to prevent any dangerous situations. Staying in safe locations during dust storms, wind-thunderstorms, and exceptionally heavy falls is advised for the general public.
The forecast period is a time when all involved authorities are urged to exercise caution.
